"Wait, Wait Don't Tell Me" Quote About Radio

[Laurence Glavin]

During holiday weekends, NPR's news quiz show "Wait, Wait
Don't Tell Me" does a show based on history rather than
current events.  Today's (01/03/04) show used a quote by
famous physicist Lord Kelvin.  "Radio has no future".
I wanted to read this in context and used the line as a 
search in google.  It didn't deliver the original quote but
instead offered lists of bad predictions.  It seems that two
VERY FAMOUS individuals also missed the mark...
Lord Kelvin made his erroneous prediction in 1897;
about two decades later, David Sarnoff said:
"The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value.
Who would pay for a message sent to nobody in particular?"
Shortly thereafter, Thomas Edison said:
"The radio craze will die in time"
It appears that lists of failed prophecies are abundant on the 'Net.
Several of them quote Bill Gates as saying "640 kb of memory
should be enough for anybody".  This was in 1981!
This should deter anyone from making posts here about the future, right?
Mmmm, we'll see.

Laurence Glavin


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