Re: Carrying a big stick #2 Arb

["A. Joseph Ross" <lawyer@attorneyross.com>]

On 21 Feb 2002 at 15:16, Dan Billings wrote:

> They do use questionable methodology and a small sample size.  The sample
> size could be larger, but I do not know of alternative methods that would
> be more accurate.

Size of the sample isn't as important as the sample being representative. 
Remember the story about the North American Review.  It took a very large 
poll of its readers and concluded that Landon was going to defeat 
Roosevelt in 1936.  Many people at the time made fun of the small sample 
used by the Gallup organization, but Gallup, with its much smaller 
sample, predicted the Roosevelt landslide.

-- 
A. Joseph Ross, J.D.                           617.367.0468
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