[B-R-I] Re: Pattern Changes, etc
Kaimbridge M. GoldChild
Kaimbridge@gmail.com
Sat Feb 18 18:44:02 EST 2006
Dan Strassberg wrote,
> "Kaimbridge" can give you the REAL lowdown, but I believe
> that we are in a minimum in the ~11-year sunspot cycle,
> which means that we are in an 11-year high in AM DX reception.
> That could completely explain your observations.
Yup! Compare the past few years for early January (some
columns omitted--as should be obvious, the lower the number,
the lower/quieter the activity):
s> # Sunspot GOES12
s> # Radio SESC Area X-Ray -- Flares --
s> # Flux Sunspot 10E-6 Bkgd X-Ray
s> # Date 10.7cm Number Hemis. Flux C M X
s> #-----------------------------------------------------
<snip>
http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/old_indices/2006Q1_DSD.txt
s> 2006 01 10 78 11 20 A0.0 0 0 0
s> 2006 01 11 77 12 20 A0.0 0 0 0
s> 2006 01 12 77 12 20 A0.0 0 0 0
s> 2006 01 13 77 0 0 A0.0 0 0 0
s> 2006 01 14 77 0 0 A0.0 0 0 0
s> 2006 01 15 81 32 70 A1.7 1 0 0
<snip>
http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/old_indices/2005_DSD.txt
s> 2005 01 10 90 40 180 A7.9 1 0 0
s> 2005 01 11 94 25 120 A8.6 2 0 0
s> 2005 01 12 102 58 600 B1.6 0 0 0
s> 2005 01 13 116 77 1240 B2.6 9 0 0
s> 2005 01 14 130 65 1790 B7.3 26 4 0
s> 2005 01 15 145 100 1980 C1.6 12 6 2
<snip>
http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/old_indices/2004_DSD.txt
s> 2004 01 10 119 66 760 B2.6 6 0 0
s> 2004 01 11 119 53 690 B3.7 6 0 0
s> 2004 01 12 118 77 550 B4.2 4 0 0
s> 2004 01 13 118 53 930 B4.3 4 0 0
s> 2004 01 14 121 58 790 B3.5 1 0 0
s> 2004 01 15 119 57 510 B3.4 2 0 0
<snip>
http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/old_indices/2003_DSD.txt
s> 2003 01 10 185 199 1160 B7.6 2 0 0
s> 2003 01 11 189 238 1490 B8.7 11 0 0
s> 2003 01 12 173 232 1210 B7.1 5 0 0
s> 2003 01 13 172 182 900 B7.1 7 0 0
s> 2003 01 14 164 176 930 B6.2 9 0 0
s> 2003 01 15 150 173 810 B4.6 1 0 0
And *THE* actual minimum isn't expected for about another year
(though a few "new cycle" regions have already come and gone in
the last few months)!
> Certainly the anecdotal reports on the AM DX mailing lists
> support the impression that DX reception is unusually good this
> winter. Reports of TAs and TPs (trans-Atlantic and trans-Pacific
> reception) abound.
Norway on 1.314 has been in regularly (early evening) for the past few
months, as has been a het over WBAL-1.090, which is London's
talkSPORT-1.089!
~Kaimbridge~
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