[B-R-I] Re: Pattern Changes, etc

Kaimbridge M. GoldChild Kaimbridge@gmail.com
Sat Feb 18 18:44:02 EST 2006


Dan Strassberg wrote,

 > "Kaimbridge" can give you the REAL lowdown, but I believe
 > that we are in a minimum in the ~11-year sunspot cycle,
 > which means that we are in an 11-year high in AM DX reception.
 > That could completely explain your observations.

Yup!  Compare the past few years for early January (some
columns omitted--as should be obvious, the lower the number,
the lower/quieter the activity):

s> #                          Sunspot  GOES12
s> #           Radio   SESC    Area    X-Ray -- Flares --
s> #           Flux   Sunspot 10E-6    Bkgd     X-Ray
s> #  Date    10.7cm  Number  Hemis.   Flux    C  M  X
s> #-----------------------------------------------------
             <snip>
    http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/old_indices/2006Q1_DSD.txt
s> 2006 01 10   78     11       20     A0.0    0  0  0
s> 2006 01 11   77     12       20     A0.0    0  0  0
s> 2006 01 12   77     12       20     A0.0    0  0  0
s> 2006 01 13   77      0        0     A0.0    0  0  0
s> 2006 01 14   77      0        0     A0.0    0  0  0
s> 2006 01 15   81     32       70     A1.7    1  0  0
             <snip>
    http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/old_indices/2005_DSD.txt
s> 2005 01 10   90     40      180     A7.9    1  0  0
s> 2005 01 11   94     25      120     A8.6    2  0  0
s> 2005 01 12  102     58      600     B1.6    0  0  0
s> 2005 01 13  116     77     1240     B2.6    9  0  0
s> 2005 01 14  130     65     1790     B7.3   26  4  0
s> 2005 01 15  145    100     1980     C1.6   12  6  2
             <snip>
    http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/old_indices/2004_DSD.txt
s> 2004 01 10  119     66      760     B2.6    6  0  0
s> 2004 01 11  119     53      690     B3.7    6  0  0
s> 2004 01 12  118     77      550     B4.2    4  0  0
s> 2004 01 13  118     53      930     B4.3    4  0  0
s> 2004 01 14  121     58      790     B3.5    1  0  0
s> 2004 01 15  119     57      510     B3.4    2  0  0
             <snip>
    http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/old_indices/2003_DSD.txt
s> 2003 01 10  185    199     1160     B7.6    2  0  0
s> 2003 01 11  189    238     1490     B8.7   11  0  0
s> 2003 01 12  173    232     1210     B7.1    5  0  0
s> 2003 01 13  172    182      900     B7.1    7  0  0
s> 2003 01 14  164    176      930     B6.2    9  0  0
s> 2003 01 15  150    173      810     B4.6    1  0  0

And *THE* actual minimum isn't expected for about another year
(though a few "new cycle" regions have already come and gone in
the last few months)!

 > Certainly the anecdotal reports on the AM DX mailing lists
 > support the impression that DX reception is unusually good this
 > winter. Reports of TAs and TPs (trans-Atlantic and trans-Pacific
 > reception) abound.

Norway on 1.314 has been in regularly (early evening) for the past few 
months, as has been a het over WBAL-1.090, which is London's 
talkSPORT-1.089!

      ~Kaimbridge~

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